Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez can win
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a spirited candidate running against Joe Crowley, an 18-year congressional incumbent, has been called (rightfully) an underdog. Over the last month, she gained a lot of traction after releasing a homemade advertisement and receiving feature after feature. Assuredly, this has boosted her volunteer and grassroots support.
Ocasio-Cortez is challenging one of the most powerful Democrats in Congress. Crowley is presumably being groomed for Speaker of the House if the Democratic party wins a majority in 2018.
To undertake such a daunting task and come away successful requires 1 of 2 options: either a load of money or bold policy proposals and zealous organizing. Ocasio-Cortez chose the latter, and it just might work.
Ocasio-Cortez has endorsed the idea of abolishing ICE, the Gestapo-like deportation force created under the Bush administration and expanded by Obama's administration. She supports a federal jobs guarantee that promises a $15 minimum wage, abolition of private prisons and cash bail, as well as the release of all individuals sentenced for nonviolent drug charges.
This is serious stuff. Which is why she has a serious chance.
Crowley's biggest problem is that he hasn't faced a primary challenge in 14 years. This means that he doesn't have a consistent constituency voting to keep him in office every two years. If an NY-14 voter comes out to vote for the primary, it's because they were inspired to support a candidate they believe will represent them (The general election is a virtually guaranteed win for the Democrat). Crowley is uninspiring and will likely have a hard time getting his supporters to the polls.
Ocasio-Cortez represents a new era of young politicians punching up to the Democratic political machine whose incumbents have embraced option #1, shamelessly accepting seemingly infinite wall street, war, and health insurance money.
Personally, Ocasio-Cortez is my favorite candidate (Abdul El-Sayed is a close second). The obvious emotion in her campaign proved to me she's real. And this Twitter thread about MLK Jr.
It's sad that the DNC's growing pains tilt toward centrism. The primary vote tomorrow (June 26) will reveal a lot, and while she is the incumbent challenger, stay confident. The forces opposing Crowley's biennial certification have stacked up, looming tall over NY-14.